CoViD-19 Cost/Benefit Analysis Concludes: Let My People Go


When the CoViD-19 (Corona Virus Disease, 2019) first broke out, there was little-to-no data. Without factual evidence, medical advisers had to depend on mathematical models such as the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis from the Imperial College in London. With an estimate of more than 2 million American deaths, a draconian response was instituted with a nearly-complete cessation of social and commercial interactions. Most people are now functioning under a lock-down, travel ban, and infringement on civil liberties analogous to martial law.
With five months data since the virus was identified in Wuhan, and with the entire globe focused on one subject only, there are now reams of data on CoViD-19, from its genome to its behavior and clinical consequences as well as daily reports of infected cases and deaths. With volumes of evidence now available, it is time to reconsider what we are doing. A cost/benefit analysis can help advise whether we should stay the course or change.
Costs
The most important cost is not quantifiable--lives lost because of our response to CoViD-19, not because of viral illness. The healthcare system is overwhelmed with CoViD-19 patients. People with other ailments have great difficulty getting care or even medical attention. How many will die because of delay in either diagnosis or treatment of a non-CoViD-19 condition? The number of needless deaths could easily exceed CoViD-19 related deaths.
In 2018, 48,344 Americans committed suicide at a time when the economy was booming and personal incomes were rising. At present, with great economic hardship due to government enforced unemployment and social isolation, people are depressed, and many more may take their own lives. That number alone could exceed the number of CoViD-19 deaths read more...
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